Anil Kalhan

Posted at Dorf on Law

From Rawalpindi comes shocking news that Benazir Bhutto has been assassinated. Many details remain uncertain, but the horrific basics are clear enough:

Benazir Bhutto was killed at a PPP rally in Rawalpindi [along with at least 30 others]. . . . The election rally, with “foolproof security”, was held at Liaqut Bagh – a site which had already seen the assassination of another Prime Minister of Pakistan, Liaqut Ali Khan.

There were earlier reports of security threats on her rally – similar reports were issued before the suicide attack on her in October. [link]

Sadly, the South Asian subcontinent has been down this road before. More than once, in fact — but one moment stands out as eerily reminiscent:

[An] heir to a miraculous name, disappeared in a fiendish conjurer’s trick: amid the theatrics of an electioneering stop, and in the puff of smoke from a bomb… Apart from the egregious act of violence that killed [the former Prime Minister], the bloody shirt of extremism and communal vengeance has been threatening to supersede all norms of democracy in the nation. [link]

So wrote Time in 1991, when another former prime minister (Rajiv Gandhi, in India) was killed on the campaign trail by a suicide bomber. During the late 1980s, Gandhi and Bhutto together were regarded by many in India and Pakistan with a fair bit of hope. Youthful and energetic, the two “got along famously” in their first summit meeting and were seen by many as ushering in generational change, a new set of leaders capable, together, of moving the subcontinent in different directions. The days of such extreme optimism passed long ago. But tragically, both of them now are linked with each other in death as well.

When Rajiv Gandhi was assassinated, some observers fretted over the “uncertainty” and the “leadership vacuum” that his death may have created within the Congress Party, much as they fret today over the future of Bhutto’s Pakistan People’s Party and democratic leadership in Pakistan more generally. The circumstances are by no means identical, but certainly one need not lose all hope that democratic leaders can and will emerge in Pakistan in the aftermath of this tragedy, that the prospects for democracy in Pakistan did not rest on Benazir Bhutto’s shoulders alone. Indeed, the lawyers’ movement and the vigorous resistance of Pakistan’s civil society to Musharraf’s Emergency demonstrate that many such leaders already are present — that the mainstream, democratic instincts and aspirations in Pakistan may well be durable enough to survive the assassination of one charismatic and pioneering leader. If, that is, those instincts and aspirations are given space to flourish, rather than simply to grasp for dear life. One can only hope that going forward the United States will belatedly recognize this fact, nurturing and supporting the democratic processes and civil society institutions that have been producing those leaders, rather than simply propping up particular personalities, out of perceived expediency, even as they tear the institutions of democracy and civil society asunder.

For now, I leave you with the remembrances of Benazir Bhutto offered by Adil Najam:

[A]ll of these [questions] are paled by thoughts about Benazir as a person. The woman. The wife. The mother. The human being. What about her?

I have not always agreed with her politically but there was always a respect for her political courage. I had met her many times, first as a journalist covering her when she had just returned to Pakistan in the Zia era and before she became Prime Minister. Later a number of times in her two stints as Prime Minister and then a few times during her exile. In that last period she toll to referring to me as “Professor sahib” and some of our exchanges were more candid (at least on my part) than they had been earlier.

At a human level this is a tragedy like no other. Only a few days ago I was mentioning to someone that the single most tragic person in all of Pakistan – maybe all the world – is Nusrat Bhutto. Benazir’s mother. Think about it. Her husband, killed. One son poisoned. Another son assasinated. One daughter dead possibly of drug overdose. Another daughter rises to be Prime Minister twice, but jailed, exiled, and finally gunned down.

and by Manan Ahmed:

In the nation whose history is dotted by military coups, assassinations and hangings of public figures, this is surely the bloodiest stain. She titled her autobiography, the Daughter of Destiny – but surely she deserved a fate other than the destiny of her father and Liaqut Ali Khan. It is truly a tragedy and a revelation of the chaos gripping the nation.

And finally, with the hope that the political violence emerging in response to Bhutto’s assassination — all too common in the subcontinent — will soon subside.

Posted at Dorf on Law

Yesterday, former General Pervez Musharraf purported to “lift” the Emergency he declared on November 3rd, claiming that he has now “revived” the Pakistan Constitution of 1973. Members of Pakistan’s civil society are not particularly impressed. And they shouldn’t be. Musharraf’s claim to have “lifted” the Emergency makes sense only if we understand the word “lifted” to mean “institutionalized and made permanent via a one-man constitutional convention.” Most of the actions he has taken during the last six weeks remain in place, and even his orders purporting to “lift” the Emergency simultaneously implement a raft of permanent constitutional amendments designed to consolidate his grip on power. Let’s take stock of where things now stand compared to where they stood on November 2nd:

1. Musharraf has laundered the judiciary by dismissing all Supreme Court and High Court judges who refused to take a new oath of loyalty to his provisional constitutional regime and packing the courts with pliant judges who have explicitly pledged their loyalty to him. Through a unilateral amendment to the Pakistan Constitution itself, he has now made the dismissal of those judges permanent. In the process, he has prevented the Supreme Court of Pakistan from adjudicating his eligibility to hold office and undermined its ability to proceed with a credible investigation into the hundreds of disappearances that have occurred since 2001 in connection with the “war on terror” (as discussed in the documentary “Missing in Pakistan,” which is linked above).
2. He has detained thousands of regime opponents, apparently subjecting some of them to torture. While most of these individuals have now been released, several leading lawyers remain under house arrest, and the message to would-be regime opponents has been crystal clear.
3. He has laundered the media, forcing independent television networks off the air and permitting their return only on condition that they (1) muzzle themselves by pulling programming critical of his regime and (2) abide by a “code of conduct” that permits the government to suspend their operations more or less at will.
4. He has amended the Army Act, with retrospective effect from January 2003, to permit civilians to be tried in military tribunals for offenses ranging “from murder to libel,” including “expressions or acts that are ‘prejudicial’ or offensive towards the government.” [link]
5. He has amended the Legal Practitioners and Bar Councils Act in a manner that permits the executive to interfere with the operations of independent bar associations and makes it easier to target lawyers critical of the government with allegations of misconduct. [link]
6. He has unilaterally and permanently amended the Pakistan Constitution to restructure the judiciary, changing the eligibility requirements for individuals to become High Court judges and creating a new Islamabad High Court in order to facilitate easy transfer of cases from other High Courts to a more favorable jurisdiction “composed of judges that the government has handpicked.” [link]
7. He has unilaterally and permanently amended the Constitution to validate his eligibility to hold office as President.
8. And last but not least, he has unilaterally and permanently amended the Constitution to indemnify his self-consciously extraconstitutional actions. Under Article 6 of the Pakistan Constitution, those actions constitute “high treason” insofar as they entail an effort to abrogate or subvert the Constitution “by use of force or show of force or by other unconstitutional means.” However, under Musharraf’s new amendment, the Constitution now provides that all laws and actions during the past six weeks are now “affirmed, adopted and declared to have been validly made … and notwithstanding anything contained in the Constitution shall not be called in question in any court or forum on any ground whatsoever.” Even after Musharraf’s first coup, he was not so brazen as to unilaterally indemnify himself, instead obtaining that indemnification (albeit with some difficulty, even though it was packed with his supporters) from Parliament, as General Zia ul-Haq had before him. This time, however, Musharraf is insisting that Parliament’s prior decisions to indemnify these acts of treason were merely “ceremonial,” arguing somewhat oddly through his law minister that “not a single provision in the Constitution required [Parliamentary] validation of measures done through extra-constitutional steps.” [link] (I suppose that technically might be true, but of course, that also just might be because under the Constitution, “extra-constitutional steps” are, well, unconstitutional, full stop — indeed, it would be surprising if the Constitution contemplated the “validation” of such steps by anyone.)

The effects of these changes will long outlast the “lifting” of the Emergency. And so, the laundering of Pakistan’s institutions is nearly complete; all that appears to remain is the spin cycle, in which Musharraf and his allies publicly congratulate themselves for how much they have done to promote democracy in Pakistan. The Bush administration and “America’s Sweetheart” Benazir Bhutto have duly cooperated with Musharraf’s spinning, with both welcoming his actions this weekend as a positive step with little or no accompanying criticism. Of course, neither response is all that surprising at this point. Not only has Bush himself said that Musharraf has not “crossed any lines,” but some press reports have even suggested that Western governments have quietly endorsed Musharraf’s purge of the judiciary because they, too, have been concerned about Pakistani judges acting too independently. For her part, Benazir has scrupulously avoided calling for the restoration of Pakistan’s purged judges, stating — to considerable disbelief — that she believes in the independence of the judiciary but that the “personalities” of those judges do not matter. And flip-flopping like Mitt Romney, Benazir now even has suggested that she might be willing and able to work with the General after all.

As for the upcoming elections, Musharraf insists that they will be free and fair. Early indications — including the use of the police to hang up posters for Musharraf’s party, as seen in the above photo — are not promising. Adil Najam seems right on the money in describing the “lifting” of the Emergency as “three steps back, half a step forward.”

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

No, I’m not referring to any physical damage associated with my jaw dropping to the floor upon hearing George Bush say that Gen. Mr. Pervez Musharraf has not “crossed any lines” in his full-scale assault on civil society. There are so many things to be said in response to that ridiculous statement, but one particularly disturbing irony seems to stand out.

We have long known that when it comes to torture, the Bush administration has at times drawn “the line” in a rather peculiar place, at one point seeking to limit the definition of torture to acts “likely to result in permanent and serious physical damage … ris[ing] to the level of death, organ failure, or the permanent impairment of a significant body function.” Well, after several weeks in which many have feared that Musharraf, Shaukat Aziz, and their agents might be perpetrating unspeakable crimes in Pakistan’s jails, it now appears that Musharraf has crossed even the dubious “line” drawn by the 2002 Office of Legal Counsel memo:

Former president Supreme Court Bar Association of Pakistan Mr Munir A. Malik has suffered renal failure. He has been shifted to ICU in PIMS where he is undergoing kidney dialysis. In panic, Musharraf has lifted the detention orders on Munir A. Malik.

For the last 2 weeks leading lawyers’ and HR organizations worldwide have been calling upon Musharraf to release Munir A. Malik from detention. Asma Jahangir had written in her letter (to HR organizations worldwide) that Munir A. Malik has been tortured by intelligence agencies.

The News is also reporting that Munir Malik has told doctors that he was served juice in Attock jail. Upon drinking the juice his condition start deteriorating. Since then his kidneys have failed and doctors are also concerned about liver function. [link]

See the interview with Malik in his hospital bed by Dawn News (in English) in the first video above. (The second video is the first part of Malik’s spirited address on the importance of separation of powers, sprinkled with Urdu but mostly in English, to the Supreme Court Bar Association earlier this year after the reinstatement of the Chief Justice of Pakistan. The full, translated text of that address and part two of the video are available here.)

Malik’s apparent poisoning is not the only atrocity committed by Musharraf against his civil society opponents:

Mr. Munir is one of four eminent advocates, all of whom were linked to the Chief Justice’s restoration struggle, who were incarcerated on November 3rd — the other three being Mr. Ali Ahmed Kurd, Justice (Retd.) Tariq Mahmood and Aitzaz Ahsan. There are persistent rumours that Mr. Kurd and Justice Mahmood have been subjected to barbaric physical torture. These rumours are lent credence by the fact that Justice (Retd.) Tariq Mahmood too has been shifted to Services Hospital from jail in ‘critical condition’ on the night of November 25th. Furthermore, no family members or media personnel have been allowed to visit him either in jail or hospital. Mr. Aitzaz Ahsan was seen in public on November 25th when he came to submit his nomination papers under police guard. He appeared visibly ‘pale and weakened’, according to eye witnesses, as he was escorted to and from the Sessions Court, Lahore, having been shifted to house arrest from Adiyala Jail. [link]

—–

The moving ordeal of an ailing but defiant Justice (retd) Tariq Mahmood lodged in the Sahiwal jail for the last 23 days, as narrated by his struggling wife, brought tears to the eyes of hundreds of members of the civil society and political workers who watched the ‘Capital Talk’ show of Geo TV live on the footpath of Islamabad on Monday.

Justice Tariq, once the top judge of the Balochistan High Court, who had resigned after refusing to conduct the controversial presidential referendum of 2002, was now being made to sleep on the cold floor of the Sahiwal jail to break his nerves and punish him for his acts of defiance since he quit the judiciary to register his protest.

As his health condition deteriorated in the Sahiwal jail, Tariq Mahmood who is said to have developed severe back pain has now been rushed to a Lahore hospital for his medical tests.

* * *

‘My 11-year-old son keeps asking daily since November 3, where is my father. Now I have run out of words to tell him where is he,’ Mrs Tariq said in a choking voice that greatly moved all the participants of the talk show. [link]

More links and a roundup are available at Sepia Mutiny.

So it seems that we are left to ask, yet again: exactly where does the Bush administration draw “the line” when it comes to torture? It is also worth recalling in this context that Musharraf’s original attempt to sack Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry came exactly one day after Chaudhry made clear that the Supreme Court of Pakistan would investigate the disappearances of hundreds of individuals since 2001. The Bush administration was silent about Musharraf’s interference with judicial independence then, and it continues to be silent about the importance of judicial independence in Pakistan today. Many Pakistani citizens, of course, have not been.

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

So Gen. Musharraf appears to be engaged in a global war on journalism after all. Two weeks after commencing his crackdown on Pakistani civil society, which effectively turned news into contraband, Musharraf has now begun to allow some independent television networks back onto cable television — but only if they agree to a number of conditions, such as terminating television shows critical of the regime and signing an undertaking of “good behavior” permitting the government to interfere with their operations, seize their equipment, and terminate their licenses at any time. Some networks are now back on the air, albeit in “laundered” form — AAJ TV, for example, is back but without a number of leading talk shows that have been critical of Musharraf. (The BBC and CNN are also back, but since they, along with Dawn News, are broadcast in English, the authorities are not as concerned about what they might say in their broadcasts.)

Musharraf’s imposition of these conditions is the direct analogue for the electronic media of the mechanisms he has used to purge the judiciary. Just as he has required all judges to swear new oaths of allegiance to his provisional constitutional order if they wish to remain in office, Musharraf has now imposed a requirement on all “independent” media that in practice they swear loyalty to him if they wish to remain on the air. Having packed the courts with his “pocket judges,” Musharraf now is trying to make sure that the only television journalists being seen and heard are his own “pocket journalists.” But Musharraf is apparently not content with preventing individuals within Pakistan from hearing voices critical of his regime. Rather, he has now made his war on civil society truly a global one, pressuring the government of the United Arab Emirates to shut down two Pakistani television networks, GEO TV and ARY Digital, which originate and uplink from Dubai and are watched by many individuals outside of Pakistan:

Informed sources said President Pervez Musharraf himself intervened to stop all GEO news transmissions from Dubai, after a two-week standoff in Pakistan during which all major news networks were shut down by cable operators, who are directly controlled by the Pakistani authorities.

The shutting down of the Geo News was universally condemned by almost every political party and member of the civil society minutes before the anchors, almost in tears, signed off.

* * *

Popular news anchors came on Geo News around midnight Pakistan time to announce that their channel had been ordered to go off the air as result of the continued deadlock between the Pakistani authorities and the media channels, following the imposition of the emergency in the country.

In Pakistan all GEO channels were blocked by the military regime after the imposition of the emergency but on Friday two main channels, DAWN News and AAJ were back on air, with AAJ announcing that two its most popular talks shows, hosted by Talat Hussain, Nusrat Javeed and Mushtaq Mihas, were suspended temporarily. [link]

With his personal intervention with the UAE government to shut down GEO and ARY Digital, Musharraf has made his battle with civil society a global one. Many thousands of individuals all over the world, including Pakistani expatriates and others, have long relied upon these networks, and while Musharraf during the past two weeks has shut down domestic access to these channels via cable television, these channels have continued to be available via live video streams online and directly via satellite. As a result, many in Pakistan have continued to obtain news from these TV networks — either directly, via live internet streams or satellite dish reception, or indirectly, as news is relayed to Pakistani citizens via phone calls and text messages from friends and relatives outside of Pakistan.

Ironically, when launching several years ago, both networks decided to originate and uplink their broadcasts from Dubai in part to try to minimize interference by the government of Pakistan with their operations. Musharraf’s willingness to intimidate the UAE government shows that strategy wasn’t foolproof. But one also has to wonder whether Bush administration officials tried to exert any counter-pressure with UAE officials and failed, or whether they simply did not bother. Neither possibility inspires much confidence.

* * *

Western journalists and Bush administration officials persist in calling Musharraf’s coup a declaration of “emergency,” as if it were responding to a temporary exigency and as if normalcy could be restored simply by “lifting” Musharraf’s extraconstitutional declaration. It should be crystal clear by now that the damage to civil society wrought by Musharraf cannot be cured simply by “lifting” the current state of affairs. The proper constitutional category to describe Musharraf’s extraconstitutional declaration is not “emergency,” but rather “high treason,” which Article 6 of the Pakistan Constitution defines as any move to “abrogate[] or attempt[] or conspire[] to abrogate, subvert[] or attempt[] or conspire[] to subvert the Constitution by use of force or show of force or by other unconstitutional means.” The appropriate Western response under such circumstances therefore should not simply be to call upon Musharraf to “lift” his self-described emergency, but rather to insist upon “rollback” of Musharraf’s extraconstitutional — and now transnational — effort to systematically undermine Pakistan’s civil society institutions.

UPDATE (11/19/2007): A protest vigil outside GEO’s offices in Karachi apparently attracted close to 1500 people:

The vigil itself started off at around 7pm but I am told the crowd was present there well before the specified time, when I reached there it was truly an amazing sight in the entire lane you could only see candles lit with quite a few heavy speakers blarring the signature Geo song Jeenay Do.

There were approximately well over 1500 people present most honding some sort of placard denocning the martial law but practiclaly everyone had a candle and sang the song Jeenay Do. There were a number of large TV screens showing the live feed from Geo which was being streamed via the internet. The best part of the vigil was when the Geo Musharraf-lookalike took to the stage and had some fun with the crowd with some unique imitations of the dictator. It was good to see people coming out to raise their voice against the censorship of the media. [link]

Emergency in Pakistan: Formulating an International Response

Location: Columbia School of Journalism, Rm 601C

The current political crisis in Pakistan will be discussed including the
suspension of civil liberties, judicial purges, media blackout, and arrests
of over 2,000 lawyers, students, human rights activists and academics. The
focus will be on the challenges facing journalists in Pakistan in particular
and how international civil and human rights actors can formulate an
effective response to the situation.

Speakers:

Robert Templer
Director of Asia Program, International Crisis Group NYC

Sami Abrahim
GEO TV NY Correspondent (Pakistan’s premier news channel which has been off
the air since the imposition of emergency)

Kiran Khalid
Freelance broadcast journalist and documentary filmmaker of “We Are Not
Free,” about media censorship in Pakistan.

Pakistan, Martial Law, and the Rule of Law

Location: Room 310, Fordham Law School, 140 West 62nd Street
Sponsor: Leitner Center for International Law & Justice

Professor Anil Kalhan will be discussing the legal situation in Pakistan and, in particular, will be addressing the plight of the lawyers under Martial Law.

RSVP and register here.

CLE Credits: 1 Ethics Credit
Contact: Jeanmarie Fenrich
Telephone: 212-636-7533
Email: jfenrich@law.fordham.edu
Website: http://www.leitnercenter.org

OSI Forum: Pakistan—Human Rights, Military Rule, and the State of Emergency
Contact: Event Coordinator, cepopenforum@sorosny.org
Please RSVP with full name and affiliation.

On November 3, 2007, General Pervez Musharraf imposed “emergency rule” in Pakistan. Arguing that drastic measures were necessary to combat a terrorist threat, he suspended the Constitution and dismissed the Supreme Court, which was about to rule his election candidacy invalid. The imposition of martial law has been met with widespread protest, especially from the movement of lawyers that arisen in opposition to continued military rule. Thousands of lawyers, judges, human rights activists, students, and politicians have been arrested and detained in the last week.

OSI hosts a panel to discuss the recent upheaval, featuring the following speakers:

* Asma Jahangir (by phone from Pakistan), Pakistani lawyer and human rights advocate and Chairperson of the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan. She is currently under house arrest in Lahore, Pakistan.
* Ayesha Jalal, Professor of History at Tufts University and an expert on Pakistan and Islam in South Asia.
* Anil Kalhan, Visiting Assistant Professor of Law at Fordham Law School.
* Frederick Barton, Senior Adviser in the Center for Strategic & International Studies International Security Program and Codirector of the Post-Conflict Reconstruction Project.

Breakfast will be provided.

The Open Forum speaker series aims to enhance policy debate on key issues facing Central Asia, the South Caucasus, and the Middle East, and to raise public awareness of important developments in these regions. Monthly Open Forum events are held in New York and Washington, DC, and are attended by leading policymakers, scholars, NGO staff, and journalists. All events are free of charge.

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

Last week, Mike noted that Pakistan’s lawyers have not simply been joining the demonstrations against Musharraf’s anticonstitutional declaration of martial law, but have been leading the fight “at considerable and entirely predictable cost to themselves.” In today’s New York Times, Jane Perlez profiles one of those courageous lawyers, Aitzaz Ahsan:

Twenty-five years ago, when President Reagan treated Pakistan’s dictator, Muhammad Zia ul-Haq, to a White House state dinner, a promising young lawyer out of Cambridge University languished in jail. He had protested too loudly, and too often, about the lack of democracy in his country.

Now grayer and at the peak of his profession, the lawyer, Aitzaz Ahsan, 63, sits in a Pakistani jail once again, reduced to seeing family visitors for 20 minutes a day, and accepting bags of fruit and bedding for some basic comfort.

His crime is the same: making too much noise about democracy under the nose of a military ruler whom Washington has deemed indispensable to its strategic and security interests in the region. [link]

This is Ahsan’s second profile in the Times in less than four months, which must be a record of some sort. (I’ll bet SAJA can tell us if it is. The first profile, by Somini Sengupta, came at a more hopeful moment, in the immediate aftermath of the reinstatement of Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry.)

Reports have indicated that Ahsan and other leaders of the Pakistani lawyers’ movement may be at risk of torture at the hands of Pakistan’s military intelligence services. However, despite these risks, Ahsan continues to speak out forcefully against Musharraf’s anticonstitutional coup from his jail cell:

“It doesn’t matter where I have been or I would be kept in prison by the dictator, who breaches the Constitution twice and humiliated the judiciary many times.” Aitzaz said it was a great misconception on the part of the Musharraf regime that by putting thousands of lawyers, civil society members and political party activists in prison and by torturing them, it can avoid the massive resistive movement against their unconstitutional moves.

“Lawyers are already protesting and fighting against the dictatorship,” Aitzaz said and added: “The day we will come out of prison we will join the already fighting lawyers and will intensify the movement to restore the judiciary.”

“We want the rule of law, rule of the Constitution, an independent judiciary and a free media and we will fight for this till the last drop of our blood….”

He said Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry was the real chief justice of Pakistan. “I and the whole nation salute all the 13 judges who refused to take oath under the PCO.” He said they are all great judges and are still the judges of the Supreme Court, Aitzaz said, adding: “The whole nation will become united to restore the real judges of the Supreme Court as it does not accept those as judges who took oath under the PCO.” [link]

Thirty-three members of the United States Senate have called for Ahsan’s release in a letter to Gen. Musharraf. If you’re in New York, you, too, can demonstrate your support for Ahsan and the rest of Pakistan’s lawyers’ movement by attending a solidarity rally being held today, Tuesday, November 13, from 1:00pm-1:30pm at the New York County Courthouse, 60 Centre Street. The lunchtime demonstration is being organized by the New York City Bar Association, the New York State Bar Association, and the New York County Lawyers’ Association, in conjunction with other organizations. Ahsan’s son, Ali, who is a lawyer in New York, will be speaking at the rally. More details here, here, and here.

If you’re outside of New York, the “We Oppose Emergency” blog may have announcements of future events. Lawyers to the barricades, indeed.

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

George Bush continues to astound when it comes to Pakistan, showing an inexhaustible supply of either patience or lack of concern:

“I haven’t spoken to President Musharraf since I did earlier this week, but he knows my position, and he knows the position of the U.S. government,” Bush said. “I do want to remind you that he has declared that he’ll take off his uniform, and he has declared there will be elections, which are positive steps… We also believe that suspension of the emergency decree will make it easier for the democracy to flourish. And so our message is consistent and clear.” [link]

The Bush approach to Pakistan is fast becoming the mother of all faith-based initiatives, a far cry from “trust but verify“:

Bush was asked if he is at all concerned that Musharraf may not live up to the promises he has made….

“I take a person for his word until otherwise,” Bush replied. “I think that’s what you have to do. When somebody says this is what they’re going to do, then you give them a chance to do it.” [link]

It’s difficult to fathom what would have to happen for Bush to decide that “otherwise” has transpired. We’ve already seen that Musharraf’s primary aim in declaring martial law is not fighting the “war on terror,” but eviscerating the independence of the judiciary and targeting regime opponents, particularly in the legal community. We’ve also seen that Musharraf is amply willing to subject a number of those opponents — including Muneer A Malik, Aitzaz Ahsan, Tariq Mahmood and Ali Ahmed Kurd, all distinguished lawyers at the highest levels of the Pakistani bar — to incommunicado detention without charge, where they are likely to be tortured by Pakistan’s military intelligence. Musharraf has apparently moved some of those detained leaders to undisclosed, remote locations — making public scrutiny of their detention and contact with lawyers and family members even more difficult. For similar reasons, he also has started to transfer some of the detained Supreme Court justices out of Islamabad to more remote areas.

Now, how has Musharraf responded to Bush’s latest vote of confidence?

Pakistan’s military ruler has amended a law to give sweeping powers to army courts to try civilians on charges such as treason and inciting public unrest … [The] decision to amend the Pakistan Army Act … would allow military courts to try people accused of treason, sedition, or “giving statements conducive to public mischief.” [link]

More details from Pakistani human rights lawyer Asma Jahangir:

The promulgation of the amendments to the Army Act, are alarming. These amendments give wide powers to military courts. Civilians can be tried for a number of offences including for expressing views that citizens of Pakistan comprise of more than one nationality by military courts. Antiquated laws that had lost their teeth through judicial reviews are now being resurrected and made punishable to be tried by the military. Trials will not be open to public hearings; lawyers will only be allowed to represent the accused in the capacity of a friend. Investigation will be carried out by military personal and ordinary rules of evidence will not apply.

* * *

The amendments made under the Army Act are blatantly violating all norms of human rights and the Constitution of Pakistan. In order, to settle scores with lawyers, human rights activists and defiant journalists the law is given effect from January 2003. This also allows the government to legitimize the illegal acts of disappearances carried out by the intelligence agencies with impunity.

* * *

The new amendments fully support the assertion that General Musharaf has not declared emergency, but imposed martial law and that it has pointedly targeted a vocal civil society. Zia’s draconian laws have also been activated and offences under them will be tried under the Army Act. In 1984 Zia made amendments in the Penal Code making expressions of ‘disaffection’ against the government and those ‘prejudicial’ to Pakistan punishable. Those accused of expressions or acts that are ‘prejudicial’ or offensive towards the government will now be tried by the military.

The Attorney General justified these amendments on the grounds that these were essential for combating terrorism and that similar laws also exist in the United Kingdom and the USA. First, two wrongs will never make right. Secondly, the UK and the USA have an independent judiciary that has also struck down provisions of the Patriot Act. The military courts in the UK or the USA do not try their own citizens. Moreover, journalists, lawyers and activists in the UK or the US have not been charged for terrorism or treason. In Pakistan, police has filed reports accusing several lawyers and activists of terrorism. There are at least three FIRs against me under the Terrorist Act. Judges of superior courts are not under house arrest in either the UK or the US.

Granting military courts jurisdiction to try offences from murder to libel is an expression of the government’s own lack of confidence in its selected PCO judges. The onslaught on the courts was not because they were obstructing trial of terrorists but because they dared to give relief in some cases. A dictator seeks absolute obedience and fears his own shadow too. As such no amount of appeasement or repression will out their minds at rest. There is little doubt that the Musharaf regime is no mood to change course. They want absolute power. They will tolerate no dissent and will continue to use the terrorist card to keep the international community at bay. How long will the bluff and a state of self-denial work?

From the New York City Bar Association:
*

New York County Courthouse, 60 Centre StreetAs an expression of solidarity with our beleaguered colleagues at the Pakistani bar, the New York City Bar Association, the New York State Bar Association, and the New York County Lawyers’ Association, in conjunction with other organizations, invite you to attend a public rally in front of the New York County Courthouse, 60 Centre Street on Tuesday, November 13, from 1:00-1:30 p.m.

The crude and brutal suspension of law and the legal system in Pakistan, and the repression of judges and lawyers there, require that we take a moment from our own busy schedules and demonstrate our concern.

Because the images from Pakistan show the violent repression of Pakistani lawyers wearing their customary dark suit and white shirt, we request that you appear on Tuesday in similar attire, though this is not required. What is important is a strong show of support. We hope to see you there and encourage you to distribute this as widely as you can. Thank you.

(More details here. Earlier: NYC Bar Association’s Statement Denouncing Suspension of Pakistan Constitution.)

* * * *

Other demonstrations of support:

Akron, OH (and other northern Ohio cities):
Where: United States Courthouse, 2 South Main Street (corner of Main and Market), Akron, OH
When: Friday, November 9, 2007 at 12:00pm.

Let’s show our support. Bring yourselves (and even a sign if you wish), and come to the Courthouse. It may be last minute, but it is a small sacrifice (infinitesimal) that we are making, compared to that which our fellow lawyers are in Pakistan. See you Friday at noon in Akron — try to make it there, or anywhere a courthouse can be found!

Chicago, IL:
Where: Pakistan Consulate, 333 N Michigan Ave
When: Friday, November 9, 2007, at 3:30pm

A silent demonstration will take place in front of the Pakistan Consulate in Chicago today at 1530 on 333 N Michigan Ave, IL 60601. The culture of this non-partisan demonstration is that we will focus on one demand only: the restoration of judicial system. There will be no speeches and no slogans. We will prepare some placards and we do not support or opposed any party in Pakistan. [link]

Montreal, QB:
Where: Pakistan General Consulate (corner Peel and Sherbrooke), Montreal, QB
When: Friday, November 9, 2007, at 1:30pm

In order to demonstrate our solidarity with the lawyers in Pakistan and uphold our commitment to human rights, the rule of law and judicial independence, we are gathering in front of the Consulate General of Pakistan on Peel Street on Friday (9 November). We plan to meet at 1330 in front of the Nahum Gelber Law Library and walk down together. Alternatively you can meet us in front of the Consulate at 3421 Peel Street. We would encourage your support of individuals whose voices are currently being silenced. [link]

Toronto, ON:
Where: Pakistan Consulate, 240 Duncan Mill Rd, North York, ON
When: Friday, November 9, 2007, at 3:30pm

The SAPF has announced that it will organize a demonstration in front of Pakistan Consulate in Toronto at 3:30 pm on Friday afternoon and have called upon South Asian people and friends to collectively come out for this. [link]

San Francisco, CA:
Where: San Francisco Federal Building Main Plaza, 450 Golden Gate Ave, San Francisco, CA
When: Friday, November 9, 2007, 12:00pm-1:00pm

Demonstration of Solidarity by Bay Area Lawyers for the Lawyers of Pakistan – “We will gather in front of the Federal Building to support our sister and brother lawyers in Pakistan who have been beaten, gassed and arrested as they courageously risk their liberty and lives to stand up to tyranny and in support of judicial independence and the Constitutional rule of law in their country. We gather too in our own support for judicial independence and against torture in our name, recognizing that Constitutional rule of law in our country, just as in Pakistan, is ours to protect. Finally, and in further solidarity with the Pakistani lawyers, please dress [regardless of gender] in black (or dark) suits, white shirts, and black (or dark) ties.” [link]

Washington, DC:
Where: Pakistan Embassy, 3517 International Ct NW, Washington, DC
When: Sunday, November 11, 2007 from 1:00-3:30pm

Demonstration to express opposition to General Pervez Musharraf’s declaration of a State of Emergency on November 3, 2007, his order to suspend the Constitution and his subsequent actions against judges, lawyers, activists, journalists and academics.

NEW YORK – Most of the reactions to the imposition of martial law in Pakistan have emphasized the importance, above all else, of making sure that the elections scheduled for January stay on track. Now Pervez Musharraf has announced he will hold parliamentary elections by February 15. Will his critics now breathe a sigh of relief, celebrate the “restoration of Pakistan’s progress towards democracy,” and move on?

If so, then all of these Western critics will have been hoodwinked, and Musharraf will have achieved a near-complete victory.

Continue reading at New America Media….

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

On Monday, George Bush said that Gen. Musharraf is a “a strong fighter against extremists and radicals.” Is this the reason why?

Appeal for support to lawyers and judges in Pakistan

I am fortunate to be under house arrest while my colleagues are suffering. The Musharaf government has declared martial law to settle scores with lawyers and judges. While the terrorists remain on the loose and continue to occupy more space in Pakistan, senior lawyers are being tortured.

The civil society of Pakistan urges bar associations all over the world to mobilize public opinion in favor of the judges and lawyers in Pakistan. A large number of judges of superior courts are under arrest. Thousands of lawyers are imprisoned, beaten and tortured.

In particular the cases of Muneer A Malik, Aitzaz Ahsan, Tariq Mahmood and Ali Ahmed Kurd are serious. Muneer A Malik, the former President of the Supreme Court Bar Association and leader of the lawyers’ movement has been shifted to the notorious Attack Fort. He is being tortured and is under the custody of the military intelligence. Tariq Mahmood, former President of the Supreme Court Bar Association, was imprisoned in Adiala jail. No one was allowed to see him and it is reported that he has been shifted to an unknown place. Mr. Ali Ahmed Kurd, former Vice Chair of the Pakistan Bar Council is in the custody of military intelligence and being kept at an undisclosed place. Mr. Aitzaz Ahsan, President of the Supreme Court Bar is being kept in Adiayala jail in solitary confinement.

Representatives of bar associations should approach their governments to pressure the government of Pakistan to release all lawyers and judges and immediately provide access to Muneer A Malik, Tariq Mahmood, Ali Ahmed Kurd and Aitzaz Ahsan. The bars are also urged to hold press conferences in their country and express their solidarity with the lawyers of Pakistan who are struggling to establish the rule of law.

Asma Jahangir
Advocate Supreme Court of Pakistan
Chairperson of the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan [link]

Why insisting upon elections is not enough

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

UPDATE (11/9/2007): An updated version of this post appears as a column this week for New America Media.

**

As the “emergency” extraconstitutional martial law regime of Pakistani dictator Pervez Musharraf enters its fifth day, more people in the United States have started to react. Most of these reactions — whether forceful, equivocal, or barely audible — have emphasized the importance, above all else, of making sure that the elections scheduled for January stay on track. But what happens when Musharraf and his banker-henchman-in-chief, Shaukat Aziz, lift the emergency and announce a date for elections, as they invariably will? Will critics then breathe a sigh of relief, celebrate the “restoration of Pakistan’s progress towards democracy,” and move on?

If so, then all of these Western critics will have been hoodwinked, and Musharraf will have achieved a near-complete victory. The purpose of Musharraf’s extraconstitutional move to hold the constitution “in abeyance” is not to prevent elections from ever taking place, or even necessarily to delay them at all. Rather, the point of Musharraf’s imposition of martial law is a more thoroughgoing “laundering” of Pakistan’s civil society institutions — including the judiciary, media, and mainstream political parties — in order to flush out any capacity they might have to serve as independent checks on his power. By itself, simply urging Musharraf to hold elections on schedule — or in the case of the Bush administration, gently suggesting that Musharraf think about that possibility if he’s bored and there’s nothing good to watch on television — is relatively meaningless. After all, when it comes to rigging elections, Musharraf has an enviable track record. Indeed, at least nominally even the current, outgoing national and provincial assemblies in Pakistan themselves were “elected.” And of course, strong civil society institutions would not be any less important after the election of civilian leaders.

Permitting Musharraf to succeed in his effort to launder the Pakistan judiciary could have far-reaching consequences, as this dispatch from Karachi suggests:

The [Provisional Constitutional Order] ensured that the best, most qualified judges of the Supreme Court and the High Courts were removed from their posts and placed under house arrest, but not before a final act of defiance that declared the PCO as illegal and unconstitutional. The few remaining members of the superior judiciary, who chose (or were pressured) to take a new oath under the PCO, have lost all legitimacy and are facing a boycott from lawyers. However, as a lawyer friend perceptively pointed out, the real threat comes from the new class of politically opportunist and ill-trained judges who will now be inducted en masse into the superior judiciary based on their loyalties to the ruling coalition. The consequences of this move are far-reaching and will affect a whole generation, though we are already beginning to see some indications. A small news item in today’s papers mentions a district judge in Sukkur who received a dismissal notice on Monday from the Sindh High Court immediately after issuing a show cause notice to an SHO (police official). The message is clear: courts are no longer empowered to question or interfere with the functioning of any executive agency. [via CM]

A more meaningful response, reflected, for example, in the statement issued today by the New York City Bar Association, would insist upon the full restoration of the rule of law as it had been emerging rather forcefully before the events of November 3. (Of course, this being a “coup within a coup,” an even stronger response would insist upon restoring the Constitution as it existed before the events of October 12, 1999, as called for by the Charter of Democracy. But let’s take things one step at a time.) That means adhering to the Pakistan Supreme Court’s unprecedented ruling (click on the image to the right for its text) that Musharraf’s extraconstitutional decrees are unlawful and that anyone who acts to implement them is, at minimum, punishable for contempt of court. (Initially, Musharraf’s “pocket judges,” as opposition leader Imran Khan calls them in the above video, tried to deny that the Supreme Court had issued any such ruling at all. However, once the Court’s order had been printed in newspapers and circulated all over the planet, the Pocket Court fashioned a new claim: that the order was a nullity because the justices who refused to swear new oaths of allegiance were no longer, in fact, judges at all. Watch this short video to see Shaukat Aziz coolly holding forth — mostly in English, so clearly for Western consumption — on the Alice-in-Wonderland-like legal principles underlying Musharraf’s extraconstitutionalism.) It also means insisting upon reinstatement of the many judges who courageously have refused to violate their current oaths of office by taking new oaths of allegiance to Musharraf’s martial law regime and, in most cases, have been thanked for their trouble with house arrest.

Critics who emphasize the importance of holding elections are by no means wrong to do so. After all, free and fair elections are critically important to the restoration of democracy and civilian rule in Pakistan. But to focus exclusively on delayed elections as the primary harm arising from Musharraf’s imposition of martial law seems manifestly to miss the point. Critics inclined to do so should be careful what they wish for — or more to the point, they should be careful not to wish for too little.

* * *

Meanwhile, the Bush administration has continued to respond forcefully and with an enormous sense of outrage and concern. A senior State Department official today escalated the Administration’s rhetoric, blasting Musharraf as “indispensable.”

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

It looks like what has been feared since the spring has actually happened. Echoing the trigger that led to Indira Gandhi’s imposition of emergency in India more than thirty years ago, reports are emphasizing that President Gen. Pervez Musharraf’s imposition of a state of “emergency plus” in Pakistan has come on the eve of the Pakistan Supreme Court’s decision concerning his eligibility to be elected as President. But the Court has been active in other ways this week that have undoubtedly made Musharraf uncomfortable, most notably its strong signal that it regarded former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s rendition to Saudi Arabia to be unlawful and possibly in contempt of its earlier order permitting his return. “[W]e would like to emphasise that the judgment passed in Nawaz Sharif’s case is still holding the field and required to be implemented in letter and spirit,” noted Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry, and the Court’s decision in that case was expected this coming week as well.

So it’s hardly surprising that an early focal point of Musharraf’s crackdown — indeed, perhaps the sole and exclusive point — appears to be an effort to sideline the Pakistan Supreme Court:

“The Chief of the Army Staff (General Musharraf) has proclaimed state of emergency and issued provisional constitutional order,” the brief announcement said at 6.10 pm Pakistan time without giving any details.

Under the order, the constitution remains suspended, the federal cabinet ceases to exist and judges will have to take oath afresh.

Dawn news reports that the Army has entered the Supreme Court in Islamabad and has detained Chief Justice Ifthekar Choudhry. [link]

The imposition of a “provisional constitutional order,” to which judges must then newly swear allegiance to remain in office, is an old Pakistan Army magic trick, one that in the past has served as step one in a process that has helped conjure up the illusion, at least superficially, that some measure of constitutional normalcy remains even as the army in practice nullifies the constitution and imposes martial law. In the past, this process has led to the removal of judges who have refused to affirm their loyalty to the new provisional order and, ultimately, to legal validation of military rule itself. Musharraf himself issued a provisional constitutional order after his 1999 coup, and following the purge of five Supreme Court justices who refused to swear their allegiance to him, the Court greenlighted his coup.

However, it seems that on this occasion, the usual script might not be playing out as planned:

All members of the Supreme Court were required to sign a new provisional constitutional order mandating the state of emergency, but 8 of the 11 justices signed an order calling the state of emergency illegal and gathered at the Supreme Court building, said Gohar Khan. [link]

(UPDATE: the Court’s order, which was issued by a bench of seven justices before the Army could put the judiciary on ice, is available here.) Earlier this week, one justice stated in open court that the Court would not be cowed by the threat of emergency. “‘No threat will have any effect on this Bench, whether it is martial law or [state of] emergency,’ said judge Javed Iqbal. ‘Whatever will happen, it will be according to the Constitution and rules … No group should think that it can take the Supreme Court hostage.’” [link] As rumors swirled this week that an emergency declaration might be imminent, newly-elected Supreme Court Bar Association President Aitzaz Ahsan — who reportedly has been arrested — made clear that the Pakistani legal community would resist any such move. If early reports are to be believed, it seems that the justices may indeed be exhibiting such courage in the face of Rangers storming the Supreme Court building.

No word as yet on whether they are welcoming these events in Washington as “not necessarily the worst thing that could happen.” Whatever tepid and disingenuous objections the Bush Administration might now offer to what its pal Musharraf is doing, there seems little doubt that Pakistan has now been left to reap what the Bush Administration has helped to sow.

The Lahore, Islamabad , and Karachi Metblogs have more. (UPDATE: As does the ever-insightful Manan.)

**

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

(Just kidding. But now that you’ve been lured into reading a post about Pakistan….) As I briefly noted last week, General Pervez Musharraf rather quickly dashed former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s hopes of a triumphal homecoming last week. After throwing hundreds of leaders and other supporters from Sharif’s political party in jail to prevent them from organizing a big welcome, Musharraf’s regime acquiesced to the invited entreaties of the Saudi intelligence chief by taking Sharif into custody at the airport in Islamabad, hustling him into an awaiting aircraft, and rendering him to Saudi Arabia.

Pakistani officials seemed to have some difficulty getting their story straight on exactly what transpired:

• Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz: “‘We did not force him to return. I have been told that he was given two options — either to go to prison or proceed to Saudi Arabia,’ the prime minister said in a live interview with a private television channel on Monday evening.” [link]
• Information Minister Mohammad Ali Durrani: “Nawaz Sharif has gone to Saudi Arabia according to the same agreement that took him there earlier.” [link]
• Musharraf backer Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain: “A few hours after the event, on the evening of 10th September, the PML (Q) chief Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain appeared on Geo television and disingenuously announced that the deportation had taken place entirely at the behest of the Saudis. And further, that while he and his party had demanded that Nawaz Sharif be given an unobstructed right of return to Pakistan, the written request of the ‘Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques’ had rightly been given precedence over domestic concerns.” [link]
• Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry: “When asked whether it was not paradoxical that on one hand the government criticised statements from foreign capitals on Pakistan’s domestic affairs and on the other hand it solicited intervention of other countries in its internal political issues, the spokesperson said: ‘We do not accept foreign interference in our internal affairs as we do not interfere in the internal affairs of other countries. This is an accepted, recognised international norm. As regards the ongoing events, well this is not in my domain. I would suggest you seek comments from other government spokespersons.’” [link]

Sharif is now once again a “guest” of the Saudi royals in Jiddah — a “guest,” that is to say, who apparently is being held incommunicado in what seems best described as “house arrest.”

Whatever else one might say about this sordid affair and its flawed protagonists, to say that Sharif was “deported” — as the Musharraf regime and most mainstream media have largely characterized the expulsion — doesn’t seem quite the correct way to put it. “Deportation” connotes the orderly explusion of a non-citizen pursuant to some sort of lawful, regularized process. Sharif, however, is a citizen of Pakistan who, as the Supreme Court of Pakistan explicitly said only weeks ago, has an “inalienable right to enter and remain” in his country of citizenship. Even assuming that the new corruption charges slapped upon Sharif at the airport have some merit, an assumption which certainly doesn’t require one to stretch the imagination all that much, the normal approach would of course be to try him on those charges in Pakistan, rather than to summarily banish him without trial to Saudi Arabia, where he hasn’t been charged with anything. And the process by which Sharif was expelled to Saudi Arabia — which seems to bear a family resemblance to the process by which one gets on a flight booked with Jeppesen International Trip Planning — was anything but orderly and lawful, as the many journalists and supporters who accompanied Sharif from London to Islamabad witnessed and recounted:

The authorities moved clumsily but quickly. Hospitality was swept aside. New charges of corruption were made against Mr Sharif and he was manhandled away. The Pakistani Government claims that he chose a return to exile rather than detention. The tea cups and biscuits were ground underfoot. Aside from a few scuffles and shouted insults, the test of strength was over in seconds. [link]

Human Rights Watch maintains that Pakistan and Saudi Arabia “have flouted international law by forcibly transferring Nawaz Sharif into exile.” Some Pakistani lawyers and human rights advocates have gone even further, arguing not only that Musharraf’s government should be held in contempt of court for violating the Supreme Court’s order that Sharif be permitted to enter and remain in the country, but even that the individuals responsible should be criminally charged with kidnapping:

Legal experts and lawyers representatives, terming it an open violation of the Supreme Court’s orders to send Mian Nawaz Sharif forcibly to Saudi Arabia, said the PML-N chief was abducted by Pakistani authorities since no Pakistani citizen can be deported under any law. The experts maintained that, according to section 363 of [Pakistan Penal Code], the military dictator can be punished with seven years imprisonment for sending Nawaz Sharif beyond the limits of Pakistan without his consent. [link]

* * *

Is the hidden hand in Sharif’s expulsion that of the office of the Vice President? The Musharraf regime has denied that the U.S. government played any role in Sharif’s rendition, and officially, Washington regards Sharif’s transfer from one allied country to another, across international airspace, as an “internal matter” for Pakistan. Yet, the sequence of events in this episode remains remarkably odd:

Believing in silent diplomacy and enjoying extremely good relations with Pakistan and its people, Riyadh not only sent its intelligence chief to Islamabad, but also asked it to re-exile Sharif as soon as he lands.

On the very day when Sharif was exiled, [Musharraf ally] Chaudhry Shujaat [Hussain] admitted in a Geo News talk show that not only he, but Musharraf was also of the view to allow Sharif’s entry into Pakistan.

Shujaat, however, disclosed that still the former premier was exiled because of Saudi rulers’ insistence that Sharif should be deported back to Riyadh. [link]

Reports of Washington’s involvement have abounded:

In the case of Sharif’s exile, some Middle Eastern countries had seriously tried to blackout the event that was being broadcast by private Pakistani television channels.

A journalist in one of these countries was clearly told by the local authorities that they are under pressure from Washington to do this.

Former Prime Minister Sharif initially wanted to come to Islamabad after seven years of exile via Dubai, but changed his mind after being warned that the Dubai authorities might divert him to Riyadh because of American pressure. [link]

And at least one unnamed Bush administration official could barely contain his glee at Sharif’s rendition:

One Bush administration official, declining to be identified because he was not authorized to speak publicly about the issue, said the deportation was “not necessarily the worst thing that could happen.” While the United States is loath to appear publicly as if it is interfering in Pakistan’s politics, the Bush administration has been urging General Musharraf to agree to a power-sharing deal with another former prime minister, Benazir Bhutto. . . .

The Bush administration official said that one hope now was that General Musharraf’s strong move against Mr. Sharif would enable him to stand up to Mr. Sharif’s allies in Pakistan and go ahead with the power-sharing deal. [link]

Regardless of whether the United States had any involvement, the whole episode seems to reflect rather poorly upon the State Department. Lots of U.S. taxpayer money gets spent every year on rule of law initiatives in Pakistan, and yet, when the Musharraf regime brazenly undermines the rule of law by openly defying a major ruling by the Supreme Court of Pakistan — which, with the support of many lower court judges and large segments of the Pakistani bar and civil society, has been exhibiting as much integrity and independence as at any time in its history — senior State Department officials proceed with high-level meetings with Musharraf as if nothing of concern had happened at all.

An even greater reckoning may be right around the corner:

Now Justice Chaudhry has set up a nine-member panel of Supreme Court judges to begin hearing two constitutional cases against Musharraf: the first disputing his right to seek re-election, the second his right to continue in high political office while heading the army.

Either could prevent Musharraf from staying in office beyond the next few weeks, in which case allies say he is ready to impose full military rule. “If the court confronts me, I’ll definitely use the option of martial law,” Musharraf told a senior party member recently, the newspaper said. [link]

What will our gleeful, unnamed Bush administration official be saying if that happens? And the State Department?

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

UPDATE (9/10/07): SHARIF BANISHED (AGAIN) — Musharraf has apparently made Nawaz Sharif’s stay in Pakistan a brief one, openly defying last month’s Supreme Court order and expelling him to Saudi Arabia. (Would it more appropriately be characterized as rendering? Or “kidnapping”?) Some Pakistani bookies will feel vindicated, but what happened to the Bush administration’s insistence last week that Pakistani leaders “honour the terms of Pakistani law and constitutional process“? Perhaps we all just misunderstood — maybe when the State Department spokesman said “honour … Pakistani law and constitutional process,” what he really meant was “do whatever the Saudi intelligence chief says“…. More details at SAJAforum and All Things Pakistan.

* * *

On the eve of the anticipated return to Pakistan of former Prime Ministers Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif to lead their parties in the coming elections, I have a column for AsiaMedia that tries to reframe somewhat the particular way in which U.S. observers have been characterizing the soap opera unfolding between Bhutto, Sharif, and General Pervez Musharraf and to consider some of the deeper issues that transcend the conflict among these personalities. As sometimes also happens with coverage of domestic politics, U.S. news coverage of the relationships among these three individuals at times has edged close to relying upon what NYU journalism professor Jay Rosen might describe as a “master narrative,” the “big story … that generates all the other stories.” In this case, the net result has been to obscure some of the more fundamental issues that lie beneath. In particular, the focus on the mutual antagonism between Musharraf and Sharif, on the one hand — who literally tried to kill each other in 1999 and 2000 — and the current negotiations between Musharraf and Bhutto, on the other, has obscured the third side of the triangle: the relationship between Bhutto and Sharif, and the larger issues at stake for Pakistan that arise from that relationship.

Bhutto’s unilateral, U.S.- and U.K.-backed negotiations with Musharraf raise questions about the fate of the Charter of Democracy, an important preconstitutional declaration that Bhutto and Sharif signed on behalf of their respective political parties in May 2006, when very few people in the United States were paying attention to developments in Pakistan at all. We often don’t think about the significance of preconstitutional documents like the Charter, but as Kirsten Matoy Carlson has argued, analysis of such documents can be helpful in “identifying and better understanding persistent constitutional tensions” within a particular political community. The Charter of Democracy is a remarkable document, bringing together two Pakistani political figures between whom no love has ever been lost. When Bhutto and Sharif agreed to the Charter — a moment that most U.S. observers ignored altogether — a number of Pakistani citizens spoke about the declaration in strikingly grand terms, with some even comparing it to preconstitutional documents such as the Declaration of Independence, the Lahore Declaration, and the Magna Carta. Unfortunately, the current efforts by the Bush administration to broker a deal between Musharraf and Bhutto at the expense of Sharif and other opposition leaders might well be undermining the viability of the Charter as a foundation and starting point for a collaborative effort to restore democracy.

While on the subject of Pakistan, let me also quickly plug the terrific work of my former colleagues at The NewsHour with Jim Lehrer, who have invested significant resources to do some serious, in-depth reporting in Pakistan this month. Every day this week, the show featured extended stories filed from Pakistan by Margaret Warner, who spent the last two weeks along with producer Simon Marks in Lahore, Islamabad, and Karachi. Margaret also conducted a couple of extended interviews with Bhutto and Sharif before arriving in Pakistan.

Their coverage is not entirely beyond critique — in particular, I think that they, too, could have contextualized their political analysis by going beyond the conventional narrative about the relationships among Sharif, Bhutto, and the Pakistan army a bit more than they have. Moreover, it also would have been particularly appropriate for the NewsHour, as a U.S. news organization, to probe a bit more deeply the active role that the Bush administration seems to be playing in bolstering Musharraf’s regime and seeking to influence the political dynamic among Musharraf, Bhutto, and Sharif. (As an example of both gaps in the coverage, Monday’s story contrasted Pakistan’s economic growth under Musharraf with the “instability” that prevailed under Bhutto and Sharif, but without noting the potential role in that recent growth played by massive, post-2001 inflows in U.S. aid and the lifting of sanctions that had been in place throughout most of the 1990s.) By not doing so, the stories at times make developments in Pakistan sound a bit too much like events taking place in a vacuum “over there,” unaffected by anything that the United States is doing. In fact, as Mohsin Hamid — whose excellent novel, The Reluctant Fundamentalist, was just shortlisted for the Booker Prize — wrote over the summer, political developments and attitudes in Pakistan have long been influenced by the United States’s engagement with the region. Hamid goes so far as to say that to the extent that anti-Americanism may be ascendant in Pakistan today, it has been fueled — at least in part — by the “accreted residue of many years of U.S. foreign policies.” [link]

Still, the NewsHour’s nuanced reporting in this series has been quite good — well beyond the standards of most television news outlets in the United States, who don’t seem even to phone it in any more when it comes to meaningful international coverage, and excellent even when evaluated against the NewsHour’s own high standards. All of the stories are available on this page, and a series of podcasts produced in connection with their coverage is available here.

In Pakistan, it increasingly appears that everything old may soon be new again — for better, but perhaps also for worse.

With all of the media attention paid to the mutual antagonism between Musharraf and Sharif — who literally tried to kill each other in 1999 and 2000 — and to the negotiations between Musharraf and Bhutto, observers outside of Pakistan have virtually ignored the third side of this triangle, between Bhutto and Sharif themselves. In the process, the deeper structural issues that transcend the soap opera transpiring among these three personalities — and the folly of the U.S. and British governments’ efforts to broker a deal between Musharraf and Bhutto — have been wholly obscured.

Continue reading at AsiaMedia….

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

A few days ago, Mike posed the following question regarding Pakistan:

Is it possible to support the pro-democracy forces without risking the replacement of an autocratic but friendly regime with a fanatical hostile one?

My own initial reaction was that intense fear of that prospect, which Mike described as “terrifying,” might often cause Americans to overestimate the actual risk. (Yes, John Edwards, I’m talking to you.) Now, over at Chapati Mystery, our colleague Sepoy goes a step further, arguing not simply that it is possible to support the pro-democracy forces without that feared outcome materializing, but that doing so in fact offers the best hope of avoiding it. His essay offers some useful background on the current standoff in Islamabad at the Lal Masjid (and in particular, its roots in the Islamization policies implemented during the 1980s by the last military dictator in Pakistan supported by the United States, General Zia ul Haq). The full post is well worth the read, but here’s the punch line:

The strengthening of miltant forces in Pakistan – and their inward gaze – has not come from any radicalization of Pakistani society but from the incomplete operation of US forces in Afghanistan. The war in Iraq drained away any plan for a viable and functioning Afghanistan. The defeated troops carried their tribal allegiances back across the border into the Northern and Western regions of Pakistan – and turned their attention onto Pakistani state. Musharraf, busy consolidating the military’s dominion had no viable way of combating these tribes – he has no legitimacy. I could be writing an alternative version of this recent past, if democratic tendencies had actually been allowed to develop in Pakistan since 2001. You may call it ‘paradoxical’ but the only solution to de-Islamization of Pakistan is democracy – not the support of dictatorships.

* * *

While many western observers praise Musharraf’s brave decision to side with the United States, the truth is that it was a no-brainer for him. The majority of Pakistan’s population has long maintained a healthy distaste for the involvement of religious leaders into statecraft – taking perhaps as axiomatic Bulleh Shah’s old verse: Mulla tay mashaalchi dohaan ikko chiz / Loukan karday chananan, aap anhairae vich [The Cleric and the Light Bearer are both the same / Trying to illuminate others, but in darkness themselves]. The outpouring of support for the Chief Justice is just one indication that the country is hungry for relief – note, please note, that Chaudhry Iftikhar is not some bearded mullah with any agenda for Shari’ah implementation in Pakistan. And yet, that old canard is forever being bandied about that if given democracy, the insane mullahs will control Pakistan. The choice has never been between Musharraf and the Mullah or the Mosque and the Ballot. The truth is that there never has been any choice. And the Pakistani public demand a choice. And they can be trusted to make the right decision just as much as any other citizen in any other democracy in any nation of this world [cf. 2000 and 2004, United States of America.] [link]

Pakistani military analyst Dr. Ayesha Siddiqa, author of the recent book “Military, Inc.,” offers a related perspective here.

(Oh, and that photo at the top of the post? It’s not from yet another stop on the Chaudhry yatra, but rather from a 100,000 person rally in Karachi against the Lal Masjid clerics back in April.)

(Posted at Dorf on Law)

Vice President Cheney has been all over the news this week. First, Cheney made headlines for his claim that he need not comply with rules requiring all executive branch entities to report to an oversight office in the National Archives on how they handle classified information because the Office of the Vice President is not part of the “executive branch.” Second, the Washington Post has been running a series of revealing stories this week on the dominant role that Cheney has played in the Bush administration across a range of issues.

For more on all of that, have a look at what our colleagues Jack Balkin and Marty Lederman have to say over at Balkinization. Here, I simply wish to draw attention, in the context of this week’s reports, to some of last week’s Cheney-related news, which I suspect some folks may have missed — namely, the apparently dominant role that Cheney’s office also has been playing in the Bush administration’s continued, seemingly unconditional support for General Pervez Musharraf in the current political crisis in Pakistan (which is not discussed in the Post series). First, from a column by Pakistani journalist Ahmed Rashid in the Post:

[Recent years have seen] a dramatic drop-off in U.S. expertise on Pakistan. Retired American officials say that, for the first time in U.S. history, nobody with serious Pakistan experience is working in the South Asia bureau of the State Department, on State’s policy planning staff, on the National Security Council staff or even in Vice President Cheney’s office. . . . “They know nothing of Pakistan,” a former senior U.S. diplomat said.

Current and past U.S. officials tell me that Pakistan policy is essentially being run from Cheney’s office. The vice president, they say, is close to Musharraf and refuses to brook any U.S. criticism of him. This all fits; in recent months, I’m told, Pakistani opposition politicians visiting Washington have been ushered in to meet Cheney’s aides, rather than taken to the State Department.

No one in Foggy Bottom seems willing to question Cheney’s decisions. Boucher, for one, has largely limited his remarks on the crisis to expressions of support for Musharraf. . . . Meanwhile, Boucher’s boss, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, demands democracy and media freedom in Venezuela but apparently deems such niceties irrelevant to Pakistan. [link]

Second, from an interview that longtime Asia expert Selig Harrison gave to the Daily Times:

Harrison said that Washington’s Pakistan policy is run by Vice President Dick Cheney’s office, adding that there is a group in there, which is pushing for a showdown with Iran, including military action, over its nuclear programme before Bush’s term expires.

The American Vice President attaches great importance to Musharraf and it would appear that an understanding has been reached with him on Iran. The Cheney lobby is keen on destabilising Iran, said Harrison, who recently returned form a week-long trip to Iran.

He further claimed that Cheney’s last visit to Pakistan was Iran-related, during which Cheney wanted to find out if there was more information to be gleaned from Dr AQ Khan on Iran’s nuclear programme and what assistance his network had rendered to it. [link]

Meanwhile, the crowds continue to throng around “suspended” Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry as he travels across Pakistan to speak to gatherings of Pakistani lawyers. This past weekend’s stop was Multan, where a 30-plus hour yatra from Lahore culminated in a speech before thousands of lawyers and Musharraf opponents. “Your motto is supremacy and implementation of law and independence of the judiciary,” he told the lawyers, “[and] I am confident your movement will succeed.” [link] All of this comes amidst new allegations that Musharraf’s intelligence agencies are bugging judges’ telephones.

Hai rabba, between Cheney and Musharraf, who’s giving advice to whom? Perhaps the same people are giving legal advice to both of them. If it’s constitutionally permissible for Musharraf to manipulate electoral rules so he can continue to serve as both President and Chief of Army Staff, as he has hinted that he might, then maybe (among other things) it’s also possible that Cheney’s Office of the Vice President is a non-branch of government after all.

As our colleague Sepoy, over at Chapati Mystery, might say, tick tock….

A couple of weeks ago, as noted in the South Asian Journalists Association’s blog SAJAforum, Pakistan’s U.N. Ambassador, Munir Akram, took a break from his duties as diplomat to perform a quick stint as media critic. In a letter to the editor, he responded to a New York Times editorial criticizing continued U.S. support for General Pervez Musharraf. Akram complained that The Times’ “repeated references to our president as a military dictator are offensive. President Pervez Musharraf was elected in accordance with Pakistan’s Constitution by our national and provincial parliaments. His re-election will be similarly democratic.”

The Times did not exactly get it wrong. . . .

Continue reading at AsiaMedia….